Libyan elections are tentatively set for mid-2019 and have the potential to be a major stabilizing or destabilizing factor to the current situation. Without a constitution or central government with national authority, the country’s source of power and institutions remain fragmented. Despite some Libyans returning home due to a perceived stagnation in the conflict, a number remain in-transit with the potential for widespread conflict to reemerge. This conflict and risk assessment for Libya synthesizes data within a nine-cluster analysis outlined by the Country Indicators for Foreign Policy (CIFP) for an accurate perspective of the country as it currently stands.
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