This analysis investigates the risk of conflict in the state of Bolivia using the nine-cluster indicator system of the Country Indicators for Foreign Policy (CIFP). Though political tension in Bolivia has been dormant for the past two months, one of the following issue areas may induce conflict. Following extensive research and review, the report finds that history of armed conflict, militarization, governance and political instability, and population heterogeneity are moderate risks for conflict, while demographic stress, international linkages, economic performance, human development, environmental stress are a low risk for conflict. Though peaceful resolution would be the best outcome, it is likely that protests will erupt before, during, and potentially after the September 2020 national elections.

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Banner image by Milos Hajder, courtesy of Unsplash.

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