With a worsening economy, political instability, and increasing regional tensions, Lebanon
has become increasingly at risk of government collapse as we move into 2020. Although
the possibility of stability remains possible, this instability has remained a constant in
Lebanon’s history, and prospects for change remain unlikely. This report analyzes
structural data and recent events to provide an overall assessment of the state and potential
for conflict. Ultimately, this report notes that without economic and political stability, civil
unrest within Lebanon will increase. This report also finds that should regional conflicts
continue to influence Lebanese action, the state will fall further into future instability.

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Banner image of Place de l’Etoile in Beirut, Lebanon, by Gaël Frouin, courtesy of Wikipedia.

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